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Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms

30 October 2026 at 19:35
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.

© Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Prediction platforms like Polymarket are hoping the U.S. midterm elections will be their moment to shine.

Traffic Control Errors Caused Spain’s Deadly Train Crash, Official Says

30 October 2026 at 19:35
The transport minister said a judge would investigate controllers’ actions, including authorizing a train to proceed at high speed though another was stalled in front of it.

© Oscar Del Pozo/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Removing a wrecked carriage at the scene of the crash near Urda, Spain, on Friday. At least 69 people were killed.

The Justice Department’s Unusual Election-Year Activity

Federal prosecutors have targeted President Trump’s political opponents and sued states over election administration just before the midterms. Devlin Barrett, a reporter for The New York Times, explains how this activity is compared with the Justice Department’s usual election-year behavior.

Israel’s Election Is Unlikely to Change Its Policies and Global Isolation

30 October 2026 at 12:03
The leading contenders, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Gadi Eisenkot, aren’t substantially different in their approach to Israel’s security or in their opposition to a Palestinian state.

© Amir Levy/Getty Images

Campaign posters for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Likud party, and Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party, in Hadera, Israel, on Tuesday.

How Michigan’s Midterm Senate Race Could Influence the 2028 Democratic Presidential Primary

30 October 2026 at 12:02
The fate of Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, the progressive candidate in the race, will serve as a litmus test for the left’s potency heading into the next presidential contest.

© Nick Hagen for The New York Times

The Democratic Party’s activist class believes a victory by Dr. Abdul El-Sayed next week would establish a proof point that left-wing populism is a winning message.

Trump Cancels Rallies in Kansas and Iowa This Weekend

30 October 2026 at 04:08
President Trump has been holding hours-long rallies for G.O.P. candidates nearly every day for weeks.

© Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Trump at Joint Base Andrews, Md., after a campaign rally in South Carolina.

Republicans Ramp Up Investigation Into Democratic Plan to Pack Alaska’s Ballot

The Justice Department issued subpoenas, a House oversight committee sought interviews and the state opened its own inquiry into a Democratic plan to recruit a spoiler into a Senate race.

© Kerry Tasker/Reuters

Republican anger grew on Thursday over a Democratic effort to stack Alaska’s Senate ballot with candidates to siphon votes from the G.O.P. incumbent.

How Common Is Ballot Stacking? What to Know as Conflict Roils Alaska Senate Race.

30 October 2026 at 03:39
As a conflict over candidates roils the Alaskan Senate race, here’s a look back at the political practice over the years.

© Doug Mills/The New York Times; Christopher Miller for The New York Times

Polymarket Is Investigating Suspicious Bets on Israeli Election

The company said it was looking into hundreds of new accounts that had placed wagers in two markets related to the election on Tuesday.

© Chris McGrath/Getty Images

Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, speaking at a Likud event in Jerusalem on Wednesday.

Trump Administration Pressures California With Expanded Voter Fraud Investigation

The department has issued grand jury subpoenas to local election officials as part of a widening effort to prove unsubstantiated claims about large numbers of illegal voters in the state.

© Philip Cheung for The New York Times

Voters casting their ballots in Los Angeles in June. At least two employees of Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder’s office received grand jury subpoenas last week.
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