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Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms

30 October 2026 at 19:35
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.

© Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Prediction platforms like Polymarket are hoping the U.S. midterm elections will be their moment to shine.

The Justice Department’s Unusual Election-Year Activity

Federal prosecutors have targeted President Trump’s political opponents and sued states over election administration just before the midterms. Devlin Barrett, a reporter for The New York Times, explains how this activity is compared with the Justice Department’s usual election-year behavior.

Another Toll of the Violent Unrest in France: The Political Center

30 October 2026 at 17:00
Support for Édouard Philippe, the leading candidate from the centrist bloc, has eroded, while his far-right and far-left rivals benefit.

© Sebastien Salom-Gomis/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Édouard Philippe, the leading centrist candidate in France’s presidential race, has struggled in the polls since widespread protests broke out across the country last month.

Israel’s Election Is Unlikely to Change Its Policies and Global Isolation

30 October 2026 at 12:03
The leading contenders, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Gadi Eisenkot, aren’t substantially different in their approach to Israel’s security or in their opposition to a Palestinian state.

© Amir Levy/Getty Images

Campaign posters for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Likud party, and Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party, in Hadera, Israel, on Tuesday.

An Arab Town in Israel Celebrates the Election but Wonders What Will Change

Gains for Arab-led parties have electrified Taibe, in central Israel, even as voters elsewhere in Israel say they have no place in any future government.

© Ammar Awad/Reuters

Ahmad Tibi, a leader of the Joint List party, with supporters on Tuesday outside a polling station in Taibe, Israel, a predominantly Arab town. “We’re ready to swallow frogs to take down Netanyahu’s government,” he said.

Trump Cancels Rallies in Kansas and Iowa This Weekend

30 October 2026 at 04:08
President Trump has been holding hours-long rallies for G.O.P. candidates nearly every day for weeks.

© Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Trump at Joint Base Andrews, Md., after a campaign rally in South Carolina.

How Common Is Ballot Stacking? What to Know as Conflict Roils Alaska Senate Race.

30 October 2026 at 03:39
As a conflict over candidates roils the Alaskan Senate race, here’s a look back at the political practice over the years.

© Doug Mills/The New York Times; Christopher Miller for The New York Times

No Clear Winner in Israel Election, Final Results Show

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s party and its allies won 53 seats in Parliament, falling short of the outright majority needed to form a government. The main opposition bloc, led by Gadi Eisenkot, won 48.

© Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images

Trump Erupted After Learning of Alina Habba’s $50 Million Deal

30 October 2026 at 01:54
Angry about the scale of a contract signed by one of his former lawyers with the family of a wealthy pardon seeker, the president told allies he wanted some of the money to go to his future presidential library.

© Kenny Holston/The New York Times

Alina Habba Mildon, while working as an adviser at the Justice Department, had signed on last year to serve as a general counsel for a company started by the daughter of Julio Herrera Velutini, who was seeking a pardon.

Trump Administration Pressures California With Expanded Voter Fraud Investigation

The department has issued grand jury subpoenas to local election officials as part of a widening effort to prove unsubstantiated claims about large numbers of illegal voters in the state.

© Philip Cheung for The New York Times

Voters casting their ballots in Los Angeles in June. At least two employees of Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder’s office received grand jury subpoenas last week.

Intel’s Shares Plunge 20% as A.I. Hinders Some Parts of Its Business

30 October 2026 at 00:17
The chipmaker, whose largest investor is the U.S. government, reported that the A.I. boom’s domino effect had hurt sales to personal computer makers.

© Loren Elliott for The New York Times

A silicon wafer at Intel’s campus in Ocotillo, Ariz. The company reported revenue of $16.5 billion in its third quarter.
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