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Four Scenarios for How the Midterms Could Go

Expectations are cresting for Democrats, and some kind of wave seems likely, but so much will depend on a few close Senate races.

© The New York Times

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What Our New Senate Polls Tell Us About the State of the Midterms

South Carolina seems like a serious race; Minnesota may not be; and Florida still appears out of reach for Democrats.

© Jillian Vordick/The New York Times

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Democrats See a Rare but Fleeting Chance to Shake Up the Senate Map

Democrats are targeting G.O.P. strongholds that could set them up for new majorities. But if they don’t win those races now, it could be a long time before they have another chance.

© Clayton Steward for The New York Times

Protesters outside of an event for Senator Roger Marshall in Topeka, Kan. Soaring fuel costs and economic struggles have made some Republican senators like Mr. Marshall vulnerable on their home turf.
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Latinos Are Now America’s Most Important Swing Voters

Latinos helped fuel President Trump’s return to the White House. But Democrats have won back the trust of many Hispanic voters over the past two years.

© Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

President Trump made significant inroads with Latino voters in 2024. This year, they appear to be moving back toward Democrats.
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In Alaska, Some Early Voting Sites in Rural Villages Have Not Yet Opened

“There is no legal excuse” for the failure of 18 polling sites to open for early voting, a state lawmaker said.

© Kerry Tasker/Reuters

Senator Dan Sullivan finished second in the primary to Representative Mary Peltola and has trailed her in polls since.
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A 2028 Presidential Poll Finds Vance, Rubio and Several Democrats in the Mix

The Democratic presidential primary race appears to be wide open, while JD Vance and Marco Rubio led among Republican voters, a New York Times/Siena survey found.

© Jillian Vordick/The New York Times

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Why Democrats Could Find It Hard to Win the Senate Despite Their Strong Polls

Democrats are increasingly optimistic about the midterms. But they are being outspent by Republicans. And they are trying to compete in states that favored President Trump by large margins.

© Julia Demaree Nikhinson/Associated Press

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About That Contested Elizabeth Holmes Quote to The Times

In today’s Backstory, the new Holmes film takes issue with our profile, Nikole Hannah-Jones unpacks her viral essay and a professor shares why he thinks we apply “conservative” and “liberal” labels inconsistently.
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