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Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms

30 October 2026 at 19:35
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.

© Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Prediction platforms like Polymarket are hoping the U.S. midterm elections will be their moment to shine.

The Justice Department’s Unusual Election-Year Activity

Federal prosecutors have targeted President Trump’s political opponents and sued states over election administration just before the midterms. Devlin Barrett, a reporter for The New York Times, explains how this activity is compared with the Justice Department’s usual election-year behavior.

Trump Cancels Rallies in Kansas and Iowa This Weekend

30 October 2026 at 04:08
President Trump has been holding hours-long rallies for G.O.P. candidates nearly every day for weeks.

© Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Trump at Joint Base Andrews, Md., after a campaign rally in South Carolina.

Trump Erupted After Learning of Alina Habba’s $50 Million Deal

30 October 2026 at 01:54
Angry about the scale of a contract signed by one of his former lawyers with the family of a wealthy pardon seeker, the president told allies he wanted some of the money to go to his future presidential library.

© Kenny Holston/The New York Times

Alina Habba Mildon, while working as an adviser at the Justice Department, had signed on last year to serve as a general counsel for a company started by the daughter of Julio Herrera Velutini, who was seeking a pardon.

Trump Administration Pressures California With Expanded Voter Fraud Investigation

The department has issued grand jury subpoenas to local election officials as part of a widening effort to prove unsubstantiated claims about large numbers of illegal voters in the state.

© Philip Cheung for The New York Times

Voters casting their ballots in Los Angeles in June. At least two employees of Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder’s office received grand jury subpoenas last week.

Intel’s Shares Plunge 20% as A.I. Hinders Some Parts of Its Business

30 October 2026 at 00:17
The chipmaker, whose largest investor is the U.S. government, reported that the A.I. boom’s domino effect had hurt sales to personal computer makers.

© Loren Elliott for The New York Times

A silicon wafer at Intel’s campus in Ocotillo, Ariz. The company reported revenue of $16.5 billion in its third quarter.

2026 Midterm Election Ballot Measures: What Races We’re Watching

29 October 2026 at 19:20
More than 140 statewide ballot measures will go before voters during the midterms. Here are the races we’re watching.

© John Tully for The New York Times

Voters casting their ballots in Franconia, N.H., in the state’s primary earlier this year.

Third-Party Spoilers, Long Fueled by Both Parties, Could Matter This Year

29 October 2026 at 19:00
The other Dan Sullivan in Alaska has drawn the most attention, but both parties are quietly trying to use little-known candidates in other battlegrounds to siphon votes, too.

© Becky Bohrer/Associated Press

Dan J. Sullivan, a retired teacher in Alaska, was recruited by Democratic operatives to join the race against Senator Dan S. Sullivan, a Republican, whose allies have been left worrying that voters will be confused.
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