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Polymarket and Kalshi Face a Major Accuracy Test: The Midterms

30 October 2026 at 19:35
Studies have shown that the betting sites can predict races correctly, but their ability to forecast U.S. midterm elections is an important proving ground.

Β© Hilary Swift for The New York Times

Prediction platforms like Polymarket are hoping the U.S. midterm elections will be their moment to shine.

Trump Cancels Rallies in Kansas and Iowa This Weekend

30 October 2026 at 04:08
President Trump has been holding hours-long rallies for G.O.P. candidates nearly every day for weeks.

Β© Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Trump at Joint Base Andrews, Md., after a campaign rally in South Carolina.

What to Expect Now That Polls Are Closed in Israel

28 October 2026 at 05:00
Polls have closed across the country. Exit polls may offer clues about the direction of the voting but not necessarily a clear winner.

Β© Ohad Zwigenberg/Associated Press

A voter casting a ballot in Jerusalem.

Democrats See a Rare but Fleeting Chance to Shake Up the Senate Map

26 October 2026 at 21:19
Democrats are targeting G.O.P. strongholds that could set them up for new majorities. But if they don’t win those races now, it could be a long time before they have another chance.

Β© Clayton Steward for The New York Times

Protesters outside of an event for Senator Roger Marshall in Topeka, Kan. Soaring fuel costs and economic struggles have made some Republican senators like Mr. Marshall vulnerable on their home turf.

Democrats Have Edge Across Four Key House Races in Pennsylvania, Polls Find

Democratic candidates are ahead in two, hold a narrow edge in a third and are tied in a fourth, new polling shows. The seats embody the fights playing out nationwide in the midterms.

Β© Jillian Vordick/The New York Times

Latinos Are Now America’s Most Important Swing Voters

Latinos helped fuel President Trump’s return to the White House. But Democrats have won back the trust of many Hispanic voters over the past two years.

Β© Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

President Trump made significant inroads with Latino voters in 2024. This year, they appear to be moving back toward Democrats.
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